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RODNEY HIDE - City Rail Link: 19th-Century Trains Under a 21st-Century City

The City Rail Link is a $5.5 billion monument to backward thinking.


Auckland is digging a 3.5 km twin tunnel under its CBD to run 19th-century steel-on-steel trains. The project, originally budgeted far lower, has ballooned to $5.5 billion. Auckland ratepayers and taxpayers are on the hook for billions upfront with rate payers coughing up $220–$265 million every year in operating, interest and depreciation costs. That is real money sucked out of productive parts of the economy.


This is government at its most predictable: always looking backwards. When new technology screams opportunity, politicians and bureaucrats reach for Victorian-era solutions wrapped in 21st-century rhetoric.


Imagine instead a genuine 21st-century system. The Boring Company’s Vegas Loop is already operational. It uses electric Tesla vehicles in tunnels, driverless or minimally crewed, delivering passengers in safety, comfort and speed. Built in roughly a year for a fraction of CRL’s cost — the original LVCC section came in at around $47 million. It moves thousands per hour and tens of thousands per day at fares around US$12. No taxpayer mega-subsidy. No endless operating deficits. Just rapid, on-demand transport that scales.


Auckland could have offered The Boring Company a showcase project: dig the tunnels privately, run a fleet of electric Teslas, and charge users directly. Zero cost to ratepayers and taxpayers. Door-to-door convenience. No waiting on platforms. No fixed timetables. Real 21st-century mobility.


Instead we get CRL. Let’s do the maths that exposes the madness.


$5.5 billion capital cost. Even using optimistic projections of around 20,000–30,000 daily passengers in the early years (well below the long-term peak-hour claims), the capital cost alone works out at well over $150,000–$200,000 per daily passenger, i.e. the "Capital Cost per Daily Boarding" -- a useful metric in cost-effectiveness analysis.  Add the annual $220+ million running costs and the insanity deepens. This is not transport infrastructure. It is a slow-motion fiscal train wreck.


Governments love rail because it looks impressive, locks in jobs and lets them play central planner. They hate flexible, innovative, private solutions because those expose how outdated their thinking is. And they no longer control where and how we live.


The population is ageing and fertility is collapsing. We cannot afford white elephants that deliver yesterday’s technology at tomorrow’s prices. Auckland deserved forward-looking transport. Instead it got a very expensive hole in the ground for very old trains.


Scrap the nostalgia projects. Open the city to genuine innovation. The future does not run on 19th-century rails. It drives on electric autonomy — faster, cheaper and without the endless bill to ratepayers. CRL is not progress. It is expensive proof that government transport policy remains stuck in the past.


Indeed, with driverless cars we won’t need the tunnels, we won’t need public transport and unbelievable space in cities will be freed because we won’t need the car parks.


The world is digital and yet our government is subsidising the pony express.


Rodney Hide is a former minister and ACT party leader

 
 
 

45 Comments


pghayward
May 12

This comment is belated - but there was something in the latest Surface Transportation News that is enlightening. "Transit Recovery Depends on Markets Served" - By Neliann Rivera.

Basically, ridership plummeted during Covid, as we all know. So where has it come back the most, and the least? It hasn't come back to pre Covid levels anywhere except Wilmington, Delaware. Where it has stayed the lowest, is the rail-based "commuters to the CBD", and rails generally. This is in spite of the largest emergency funding subsidies being poured into these systems. Where it has recovered best, is in dispersed bus routes used for multiple trip purposes. This fits completely with the paradigm some of us have been arguing for years,…

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dtk
May 09

Rodney, I've heard you waxing lyracal about the Musk elsewhere. Is your wife aware of this competition for your affections ? Watch this and tell me Muck is a benign fellow ...

https://seemorerocks.substack.com/p/elon-musk-knows-something-and-isnt

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pghayward
May 12
Replying to

The way in which Musk is creating consumer surplus is certainly beneficial to humanity, as opposed to the shadowy dynasties in finance and property who are behind most of the divide-and-rule, zero-sum wealth gouging stuff that is enserfing humanity. Musk is a disruptor, he is "new wealth". Bill Gates was in a similar position a few decades ago but obviously chose the dark side at some stage. It is important to look at what Musk is NOT supporting. The way the Democrats and the Deep State hate him and want to go after him, tells us a lot. They sure aren't interested in going after Bill Gates, are they? Or Soros, or the Rockefellers or the Rothschilds. Elon Musk wasn't…

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Unknown member
May 09

Auckland Super City = Super Ratepayer Waste, who would've thought the politicians would blowout the budget? (Who got fired?) Wellington didn't need to go to a Super City type scam to burst budgets to build multi $billion cycle way next to the sea which washes over it, which no doubt they will spend billions more trying to rectify. If the ratepayers had been made aware of the true costs of the project they could have stopped it, but they didn't use the Citizens Initiated Mandatory Referendum to do that. So it's not the politicians fault a dumb idea proceeded, it was the ratepayers fault.

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N D
N D
May 08

Solve the risks of electric first ie cars catching on fire. Power outages through overloading the system which we already have without more added to it. Computers in cars already breaking down so driverless anything is just more hassles to cope with I certainly wouldnt like to be in one when it decides to go off track - both trains and cars. Besides putting people out of work.

Sounds like you are all for digital Rodney you will be a Banks delight.

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bill
May 11
Replying to

Its a discussion about technology not electric cars.

Driverless cars can be powered with petrol and would have a much lower axel weight and better range.

The point is 15% of a city is parking 30% of the roads are dedicated to buses with a phanominally low usage percentage.

Make Auckland a destination for new technology with regulatory and finacial help maybe as much as 10% of the waisted amount and we will be a contender we are now a town with three underground stations and a debt, a joke, oh yes and a continuous flow of money out, virtue personafied.

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"Hide-sight" is a wonderful thing.

Next thing we know the Council will say the CRL is too expensive to run and rip up the tracks and turn it into another bike lane - now that's more in keeping with the stupidity of today's politicians and bureaucrats


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pghayward
May 12
Replying to

What's the Hide sight or hind sight about this? Some of us have been opposing this boondoggle all along, right from the start. Tony Randle did a brilliant audit of the whole thing in 2011 that should have put a stake through its heart. Even IF it only cost 1.,1 billion as originally estimated, it was a dog!

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